![]() ![]() Likewise, its reviews should lead to talk of Oscar nominations, which should in turn help its long term chances. While Argo only managed second place last weekend, it has already taken over first place on the daily chart and this bodes well for its chances this weekend. Probably not enough to justify a sequel, but enough to break even sooner rather than later. I think the high end is more likely than the low end, so I'm going with $18 million. Getting to $20 million will be very difficult, while there's a slim chance it will barely crack $10 million. The buzz has also not grown much from the beginning of the month and this means its box office potential has also dropped. In fact, it is in danger of dropping to the single digit range. Those two films earned bad reviews, but this film's reviews are even worse. The character was first played by Morgan Freeman in Kiss the Girls and Along Came a Spider. This is still more than enough to ensure yet another sequel.Īlex Cross is the third film based on the novels by James Patterson. I think the film will do well during its opening weekend earning $46 million, but it won't crack $100 million in total. ![]() A Tomatometer Score of 32% positive isn't fatal for a horror film, but it won't help either. On the other hand, the reviews are significantly weaker this time around. On the positive side, the buzz is actually louder this year than it was last year. On the other hand, we could be worried about nothing and the franchise could break the October record, again. Because of that, there's a chance Paranormal Activity 4 will bomb, at least compared to the previous release. Will this film raise or lower that average? Eventually, Franchise Fatigue will set it and it did with Saw 4. Paranormal Activity 4 is the fourth installment in the franchise and so far the previous three films have averaged close to $99 million. Paranormal Activity has become a yearly ritual taking over from Saw. On the other hand, the other three releases made roughly $14 million combined, so while we are not as strong at the top, there's better depth in 2012. There's a slim chance that will happen this year as well, but probably not. ![]() Last year Paranormal Activity 3 broke the record for biggest October opening. The only other wide release of the week is Alex Cross, Tyler Perry's attempt to build a mainstream acting career. The fourth installment in the franchise should dominate the box office, but the challenge is for Paranormal Activity 4 to top Paranormal Activity 3. It's the weekend before Halloween, so that must mean Paranormal Activity. ![]()
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